The question everyone in the world is asking is ´When will I be vaccinated?´ And its not an easy answer. There are so many vaccines and so much confusion. Supplies are running low and every leader around the globe over promised and under delivered so far. Then I saw this article in Las Provincias, containing a calculator so you could see your place in line in Valencia. And it´s eye opening.
Based on all the criteria – my age, co-morbidity (icky word for high risk health issues), and the like, there are 300k-1.3mm people in Valencia ahead of me in line to be vaccinated. That’s a big range. With a population of 5 million people in the Valencian Community. So in the grand scheme I´ll be vaccinated before most of them. They even gave me a date range as to when that might be possible. Some time between March 1st and June 30th of 2021. Great. Sounds fine. But reading the fine print that´s based on them vaccinating 160k people a week in Valencia. They just hit the grand total of 149k in total for the first dose in the past 6 weeks. And right now they´re vaccinating around 8500 people a week. So the math says my vaccination is not liable to happen within the next year, let alone this spring. If I have to wait for 1.3 million other people to be vaccinated ahead of me I´ll be waiting 3 years. Unless something very drastic changes.
It seems like getting back to normal is a pipe dream in the near future. Three years of mask wearing just to get to 1.3 million people? And to get the full 5 million? At the current rate that would take more than 11 years! I don´t think society has 11 years to deal with this thing. It can´t handle it now. How many more variants would enter the field? Ones that won´t respond to the vaccine most of us haven´t even gotten yet.
I remember back in November and December when the vaccines were just over the horizon. When politicians were promising doses in the millions and that ´most of Spain would get be vaccinated by summer.´ We all heard this from leaders across the globe. What happened? How were they so wrong? Were they misled by vaccine manufacturers? Or were they just crossing their fingers and wishing on stars?
I know I´m not alone. We´re all tired of this. But where is the actual plan? Three years for someone my age isn´t a plan. It´s a pipe dream. As we all know after 2020, a lot can happen in a year. But three? It will be an entirely different world.